scilogs Dark Matter Crisis

Question C.II: MOND works far too well !

Pavel Kroupa | 21. March 2011, 12:00

Summary:

First try: Using only Solar System constraints, Newton and then Einstein developed the universal theory of gravitation. This Theory of General Relativity (GR) is then applied to model the universe. In order for it to fit the observational cosmological constraints, inflation, dark matter and dark energy need to be postulated to exist. Tests on scales of 10Mpc and less show this top-down modelling to fail despite major fine-tuning attempts. 

Second try: Using Solar System and galactic constraints Milgrom and then Bekenstein developed a new theory of gravitation. This MOND and TeVeS  approach is now being applied to model the universe. Cold dark matter is not needed, but applications to large-scale structure need to be developed. Tests on scales of 10Mpc and less show this bottom-up modelling to be successful without fine-tuning.

In general it follows that the need for dark matter and perhaps for the other postulates depends on the gravitational theory being used. Since we do not yet understand gravitation it furthermore follows that these postulates probably only express our lack of understanding of cosmological physics.  

Indeed, there is no reasonable astronomical evidence for the existance of cosmologically relevant cold dark matter particles, and so searching for these would be futile. 

Background:

As introduced in the previous contribution to The Dark Matter Crisis, Question A: Galaxies do not work in LCDM, sociology and majority views, PK was recently contacted by a few people, and here are excerpts from some of the questions asked and the replies. These help to illustrate some of the issues at hand. The questions are

A) So the LCDM model fails on scales smaller than about 8 Mpc?

B1) What is a galaxy?

B2) What is a galaxy? (Addendum on the relaxation time)

C) What are the three best reasons for the failure of the LCDM model?

     I: Incompatibility with observations

    II: MOND works far too well ! (this contribution)

   III: Fundamental theoretical problems (to go on-line soon)

D) What about the Bullet cluster?  

E) Why is the main stream community so reluctant to  go along with accepting the failure of LCDM?

This contribution deals with Question C, which may be taken to be central to The Dark Matter Crisis, while upcoming contributions will concentrate on the remaining questions.

 (More)

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Question C.I: What are the three best reasons for the failure of the LCDM model? I: Incompatibility with observations

Pavel Kroupa | 08. March 2011, 20:00

Summary:

The development of the concordance cosmological model (CCM) over the past 40 years is based on the addition of at least three unknown ("dark") physical phenomena (inflation, cold dark matter, dark energy), in an attempt to make Einstein's field equation account for the distribution of matter on galactic and larger scales. None of these are understood nor experimentaly verified today. While these may constitute true discoveries of new physics, much as in the spirit of the past when for example Neptune and the neutrino were postulated to exist based on not understood observations, these dark additions also have a parallel in the Ptolomaic model which is based on a series of complex additions to circular motions in order to provide a calculation tool for the Solar System prior to the discovery of Kepler's and later Newton's laws. On close scrutiny the latter analogy appears to be the favourable one because the CCM is not able to account for the observed distribution of matter on scales of 10Mpc and less, where a massive computational effort by many groups has been able to quantify the theoretical distribution of matter. Meanwhile, new dynamical laws have been discovered which are extremely successful in accounting for the appearance and motion of matter on galactic scales and above. At the same time, it is emerging that the CCM is not unique in accounting for the large-scale matter distribution nor for Big Bang Nucleosynthesis nor for the cosmic microwave radiation. This suggests rather unambiguosly that our understanding of gravity is not complete. This conclusion, obtained purely from astronomical data, is nothing else but the statement that we do not have a good physical theory of matter, mass, space and time nor do we  know how and if they can be unified. 

 

Background:


As introduced in the previous contribution to The Dark Matter Crisis, Question A: Galaxies do not work in LCDM, sociology and majority views, PK was recently contacted by a few people, and here are excerpts from some of the questions asked and the replies. These help to illustrate some of the issues at hand. The questions are

A) So the LCDM model fails on scales smaller than about 8 Mpc?

B1) What is a galaxy?

B2) What is a galaxy? (Addendum on the relaxation time)

C) What are the three best reasons for the failure of the LCDM model?

     I: Incompatibility with observations (this contribution)

    II: MOND works far too well !

   III: Fundamental theoretical problems (will go on-line soon)

D) What about the Bullet cluster?  

E) Why is the main stream community so reluctant to  go along with accepting the failure of LCDM?

This contribution deals with Question C, which may be taken to be central to The Dark Matter Crisis, while upcoming contributions will concentrate on the remaining questions.

 (More)

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Question B2: What is a galaxy? (Addendum on the relaxation time)

Pavel Kroupa | 23. January 2011, 11:14

Background:

As introduced in the previous contribution to The Dark Matter Crisis, Question A: Galaxies do not work in LCDM, sociology and majority views, PK was recently contacted by a few people, and here are excerpts from some of the questions asked and the replies. These help to illustrate some of the issues at hand. The questions are

A) So the LCDM model fails on scales smaller than about 8 Mpc?

B1) What is a galaxy?

B2) What is a galaxy? (Addendum on the relaxation time) (this contribution)

C) What are the three best reasons for the failure of the LCDM model?

D) What about the Bullet cluster?  

E) Why is the main stream community so reluctant to  go along with accepting the failure of LCDM?

This contribution deals with Question B2, while upcoming contributions will concentrate on the remaining questions.

 (More)

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Question B1: What is a galaxy?

Pavel Kroupa | 19. January 2011, 17:00



Question B1: "What is a galaxy?  - vote here!"

 

Answer: The astronomical object we commonly call a "galaxy" has no formal definition yet. This issue is now raised to a more formal problem by Forbes & Kroupa (2011)(F&K).

Here is the associated press release.

Science and New Scientist also report on this question.

Your vote is of interest: Being motivated by the vote at the General Assembly of the International Astronomical Union in Prague in the year 2006 on Pluto's status in the Solar System and given the lack of a formal definition of what constitutes a "galaxy", Prof. Duncan Forbes from Swinburne University in Melbourne has organised a poll to seek if a consensus may emerge how a galaxy could perhaps be defined. To contribute to the poll, feel free to cast your vote here as to what you think a galaxy is. But please read the above F&K paper first.

And, feel free to post your own views on what a galaxy is in the comments section below.

The results of the poll and of the discussion will be reported at conferences. 

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Question A: Galaxies do not work in LCDM, sociology and majority views

Pavel Kroupa | 17. January 2011, 13:00

Independently of any dark-matter detections or the success or failure of dark-matter searches

(it is notable that the originally favoured dark matter particles have long ago been excluded through direct searches, as summarised by Prof. Stacy McGaugh),

it is a well known problem that galaxies cannot be reproduced in the standard cosmological (i.e. the LCDM) scenario. In the LCDM model, the mass of the universe consists to about 4 % out of normal (baryonic) matter which we observe, while 96% is in an unknown dark form (about 22 % being the exotic cold dark matter and about 74% being in dark energy).

Since the large fraction of astronomers (about 95 % as is often stated) and physicists are convinced that the LCDM model is the correct description of the cosmological universe, a vast industry has been established world-wide to try to solve the failure of LCDM on galaxy scales. Each year hundreds of research papers are spurned out by excellently funded reseach groups claiming to solve some aspect of the problem.

For example, many research papers deal with the question why there are only about two dozen satellite galaxies around the Milky Way, while there ought to be many thousands of satellite dark matter halos around the Milky Way (the Missing Satellite Problem). Why are the satellite galaxies of the Milky Way distributed so unevenly about the Milky Way, forming a giant disk-like distribution which is nearly perpendicularly oriented to the disk of the Milky Way (the Satellite Anisotropy Problem)? Another issue of focuss is why the dark matter halos inferred from observations have cores, while the LCDM model predicts them to have dense central regions, i.e. cusps (the Core-Cusp Problem). Another issue being worked on in much detail is why there are large thin disk galaxies with no bulges (the Angular-Momentum Problem). Why are disk galaxies, which by the way are the majority of all galaxies, all so simple (the Invariant Galaxy Problem)?  Why do large elliptical galaxies appear so rapidly after the Big Bang even though they must have been build-up from pre-existing galaxies in the LCDM model, according to which galaxies form through myriads of mergers of smaller dark matter halos that already have a normal-matter content in the form of stars and gas. Why are the predicted building blocks (these dwarf galaxies) observed to be younger than the large elliptical galaxies, although they should be older because the small dark matter halos form before the large ones (the Downsizing Probem)? Or, why is there an observed strong conspiracy between the distribution of normal (baryonic) matter and dark matter in all disk galaxies? This Conspiracy Problem has not been solved although it is known since decades. And, related to this, why is there no observational evidence for dark matter in dwarf-elliptical galaxies and large elliptical galaxies within their visible regions? Why does dark matter always only appear when the surface density of normal matter falls below a critical level? The surface density is but the gravitational acceleration - so, why should dark matter decide to appear when the acceleration falls below a critical threshold, which happens to be the same for all galaxies (the Dark Matter Emergence Probem)? Note that this is a purely observationally established fact, highlighted recently by Gentile et al.(2009, Nature) without any implication, as yet, of hidden deeper physics. 

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Another reaction to the Dark Matter Debate

Pavel Kroupa | 08. December 2010, 14:30

During the past months there was quite some activity in the German media on the issue of cosmology and the existence of dark matter. Starting with our German paper "The standard cosmological model being tested" (German: Das kosmologische Standardmodell auf dem Pruefstand"), which appeared in the August issue of  Spektrum der Wissenschaft,  some of the leading experts are beginning to re-position themselves, it seems.

In a major German article about himself "Perhaps we are seeking a phantom" (in German: "Vielleicht laufen wir einem Phantom nach"), which appeared in the October issue of Spektrum der Wissenschaft, Prof. Dr. Volker Springel from Heidelberg states that it is quite possible ("Gut möglich") that the current standard model of cosmology is false.

Also, in an interview with the German TV station 3sat/scobel on "MOND - Modified Newtoian Dynamics: A new theory to close gaps" (translated from German: "MOND - Modifizierte Newtonsche Dynamik: Eine neue Theorie, die Lücken schließen soll", on Nov. 25th), Prof. Dr. Matthias Steinmetz from Potsdam also states that, on the long term, we will need a new theory.

Dr. Frederic V. Hessman from the University of Göttingen, upon seeing this blog on The Dark Matter Crisis, wrote a few very interesting comments, some of which we can post here:

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Podcast and presentations to "Dark Matter: A Debate" and the subsequent TV debate are online

Pavel Kroupa | 02. December 2010, 07:53

The debate had the following format:

First Simon White had 25 minutes to present his point of view. This was followed  by questions to him from the audience (about 5 minutes). Then Pavel Kroupa had 25 minutestime to present his point of view, again followed by 5 minutes questions. Following this, Simon White and Pavel Kroupa were asked to each give five minute statements summarising their positions. The actual debate then commenced, which also included the audience.

The lecture theatre in the Physics Insitute was overfilled; 300 people attended the event, and another room with a TV monitor showing the life proceedings was also overfilled. Late-arrivals did not find a seat nor standing room. (More)

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Dark Matter: A debate - afterwards while on safari

Pavel Kroupa | 27. November 2010, 12:00

Fleeing  the  European continent to go back to Australia on safari for some satellite-galaxy hunting in Canberra with my friend Dr. Helmut Jerjen, I had a little time on my Quantas  flight and in Singapore and Perth to reflect upon the debate, and I note the following:

Simon White gave an excellent presentation of the impressive agreement of standard cosmology, i.e. the LCDM model, showing some of the available data on large scales and the cosmic background radiation map (his slides are available on his website).  Somebody in the audience during or after the debate was over, mentioned an interesting observation  (unfortunately I do not recall who this was): (More)

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Reactions to the Dark Matter Debate and Another One in German TV

Marcel S. Pawlowski | 24. November 2010, 15:27

While the official video podcast of the Bethe Colloquium "Dark Matter, a Debate" is not available yet, there nevertheless have already been some reactions send via email or posted on astronomy blogs. Some are based on the live blog of the debate. In addition to that, there will be a discussion about Dark Matter in German television this thursday.

Reactions to the Dark Matter Debate

Before the debate, a number of people labeled it as a "MOND vs. Dark Matter" debate, which is simply a wrong statement. This is not the question we as scientists have to ask today. The real issue at hand is the question whether we understand LCDM as being falsified or not. This is independent of the possible existence of an alternative and its successes or failures. Unfortunately, in his report of the debate, Daniel Fisher, who was there himself, also presents it as one between a Dark Matter and a MOND advocate. He shares his impressions (in German) on his Blog Skyweek Zwei Punkt Null.

In contrast to that, Nando Patat, astronomer at ESO, who posts his thoughts on the matter in a post titled "We do not understand nature, we measure it", puts more emphasis on the sociological points Pavel Kroupa raised. He even backs up the statement that it is difficult to go against the mainstrem by refering to one of his papers about very old stars, which was "brutally but superficially rejected". This is in-line with reports by other scientists who for example had observing proposals rejected because they suggested observing disk galaxies at a high redshift. Because the  time-allocation commission "knew" that these cannot have formed in a LCDM universe, the observing time was not granted.

On her Blog "One Small Step", Sarah Kendrew, a Post-Doc in Heidelberg, posts a good introduction to the background of the debate. She also mentiones that Pavel Kroupas main point was not to fighting for a particular alternative theory. She writes: "I get the impression that a large part of Kroupa’s argument is actually sociological: he’s calling for research into paradigm-challenging cosmologies like MOND to be given more attention (without smirking) and funding, rather than creating ever more patches to cover the holes in concordance cosmology." Concerning Simon Whites position, she makes an interesting statement: "White acknowledges the problems yet doesn’t think that a radical new line of thought is needed either [...]. Given his views on the future of astronomy [...] I would have thought he’d be all in favour of setting bright students’ creative minds loose on a problem like this."

As a last point, there was an email by a colleague. He shares some of his thoughts about the debate, which he attended himself. However, he asked us not to mention his name because he does not have a permanent position yet. He is afraid that articulating his point of view publicly will reduce his chances to ever get one. Of course we follow his request by citing him anonymously and would like to thank him for his trust in us which he showed by sending this email.

Simon White's statement that Pavel Kroupa is arguing with a "proof through assertion" is an insolence, as it supposes that the arguments lack any evidence. Consistently, in the following Simon White did not really adress the problems of Dark Matter. Instead, he showed where the standard model works. Ignoring criticism is bad scientific practice. In addition to this, Simon White tried to reduce Pavel Kroupa's arguments to a pro-MOND position, while the failures of the concordance cosmology have nothing to do with the question whether MOND is valid or not. While Simon White initially said that alternatives have to be investigated, he later argued that he gets a lot of letters each day proposing alternative cosmologies. This made Professor Klaas de Boer protest, as it puts theories like MOND on the same level as, for example, crackpot-ideas of non-academics claiming to have disprooven Einstein.

But there was also criticism concerning Pavel Kroupas presentation during the debate. His statement that he does not see any possibility to verify LCDM was perceived as a too fixed position. He might also have insisted more on discussing the small-scale problems of LCDM and that they can not simply be dismissed by stating that the physics at these scales is too complicated. This might have made the debate more ground-breaking, as a lot of people were hoping to see if there are proper counter-arguments to the findings presented in the recent paper. Furthermore, he could have reacted to Simon White's claim that Fornax fits excellently in LCDM, using the isophote-plots of the satellite galaxy he showed in his talk: If the galaxy were embedded in a dark matter halo, it could not be too asymmetric but would mostly be spherically and non-structured, which is not the case. During the debate, Pavel Kroupa did not raise this contradiction between Fornax and the LCDM model.

Another Debate (on TV)

This Thursday (November 25th 2010), at 9pm, there will be another discussion about dark matter in the TV show "scobel". It will be broadcasted on 3sat, a TV station in German providing a common program for Germany, Austria and Swizerland. The title is: "Dark Matter - New Studies Question its Existence". Guests in the show will be Arnold Benz, Gerhard Hensler and Simon White. A TV team of 3sat was filming at the Dark Matter Debate between Simon White and Pavel Kroupa last week, so this will probably be the first chance to see some footage of the event. Furthermore, Pavel Kroupa and Robert Sanders were interviewed for the show. Unfortunately, it is in German. It will be available online in the 3sat mediathek afterwards.

by Pavel Kroupa and Marcel Pawlowski (24.11.2010): "Reactions to the Dark Matter Debate and Another One in German TV" in "The Dark Matter Crisis - the rise and fall of a cosmological hypothesis" on SciLogs. See the overview of topics in  The Dark Matter Crisis.


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Slides of the Dark Matter Debate and of Robert Sanders' MOND Talk

Marcel S. Pawlowski | 22. November 2010, 16:37

On November 18th 2010, Pavel Kroupa and Simon White met in Bonn for a special Bethe Colloquium: "Dark Matter, a Debate". While the video podcast is not available yet, there is a replay of the live blog. Furthermore, Pavel Kroupa's presentation slides can be downloaded as a pdf file.  (More)

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Live Blog of the Dark Matter Debate in Bonn

Marcel S. Pawlowski | 18. November 2010, 10:28

Starting at 3pm local time (Germany), Andreas (AHW) and Marcel (8minutesold) will try to live blog from the debate about Dark Matter between Simon White and Pavel Kroupa in Bonn. As there is no live video stream available, this seems to be the only live coverage of the event. You can follow the report in the field below and even send in a comment or two. (More)

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Dark Matter: A debate at the Bethe Center for Theoretical Physics at Bonn University

Pavel Kroupa | 01. November 2010, 11:25

On July 15th, 2010, Pavel Kroupa held an invited colloquium on "Local Group galaxies as critical tests of the contemporary cosmological model and its failure" at the Helmholtz-Institut fuer Strahlen und Kernphysik of the University of Bonn. The venue had to be shifted to a larger lecture theatre.
 
The Bethe Center for Theoretical Physics invited Prof. Dr. Simon White (Max Planck Institue for Astrophysics, Garching) and on July 16th Pavel Kroupa (AIfA, Bonn) to hold the Bethe Colloquium on "Dark Matter: a debate".
 
It will take place on November 18th, 2010, at 3:15 pm, in Lecture Hall 1 of the Physikalisches Institut, Nussallee 12, 53115 Bonn. It is open for all interested. However, it is not likely to be easily accessible for the lay person. The abstract of the Nov.18th Bethe Colloquium reads:
"The subject of this months Bethe Colloquium concerns a question at the interface of cosmology, astrophysics and elementary particle physics: the possible existence of Dark Matter. The existence of Dark Matter is the most prominent proposal to account for the discrepancy between measurements of the mass of galaxies, clusters of galaxies and the entire universe, and measurements based on the mass of the visible matter. So far the existence of Dark Matter is inferred from gravitational effects on visible matter and background radiation and not through direct detection. In his talk Professor S. White introduces the dark matter paradigm and explains its virtues. An alternative proposal to explain the observed discrepancies is introduced by Professor P. Kroupa. He argues that these effects could be due to a modification of the laws of gravity without the need of Dark Matter. The talks are followed by a discussion."
 
The web-site of the Bethe Colloquia can be found here, and the poster advertising the debate is provided below. A higher resolution pdf version of the poster can be downloaded here. Uni-Bonn-TV will prepare a videopodcast of the event.
 
KroupaWhite
 
 See the overview of topics in  The Dark Matter Crisis.

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Another Conference: New Directions in Modern Cosmology

Marcel S. Pawlowski | 23. September 2010, 10:00

Poster for the conference After the succsessful AG Meeting, next week we will be at another conference, titled "New Directions in Modern Cosmology", to which Prof. Pavel Kroupa was invited. It will take place at the Lorentz Center in Leiden (in the Netherlands) from September 27 through October 1st. As the title suggests, the workshop is about the increasing amount of observational challenges of LCDM cosmology. From the website:

This workshop concentrates on the discussion of recent cosmological observations which present challenges to the standard LCDM model. These observations include: the large scale flows, the sizes and amplitude of galaxy large scale structures, the systematic effects biasing the analysis of CMB data and the lack of large-angle correlations, the anisotropy of the Hubble flow, the evolution of galaxy size, and the failure to find the sub-halo building blocks left over from the primordial fluctuation spectrum.  Last and not least, it is disturbing that in the LCDM model 95% of the Universe have not been observed 'directly'.

While each of these observations can be seen as an anomaly that the model would possibly explain, the bulk of them calls for a more careful analysis of the model foundations, particularly the amount and role of dark substances.

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The standard model of cosmology

Pavel Kroupa | 19. September 2010, 20:30

At the conference "Zooming in: The Cosmos at High Resolution" Prof. Matthias Bartelmann from Heidelberg University gave a didactively beautiful presentation about the standard cosmological model for the general public.

Here is his argument why it is believed that this model is an excellent description of the universe: (More)

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Our contributions at the annual meeting of the "Astronomische Gesellschaft"

Marcel S. Pawlowski | 10. September 2010, 12:10

This coming week we will have the annual meeting of the "Astronomische Gesellschaft" (the German astronomical society) in Bonn. The conference with the topic "Zoomin in: The Cosmos at High Resolution"  starts on Monday (September 13) and will last until Friday. You can find the schedule here. In the afternoons there are a number of splinter meetings on different astronomical topics. For those participating in the meeting and interested in the Dark Matter Crisis, we would like to point out some of our contributions. Of course we will also be around during the week, so feel free to approach us for discussions. (More)

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